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Commercial Real Estate

Welltower Raises Guidance as Senior Housing NOI Grows 20.5% for 15th Straight Quarter

Welltower reported normalized FFO per share of $1.60, up 25% year over year, as its senior housing operating portfolio posted a 15th consecutive quarter of 20%-plus same-store NOI growth, prompting a 15% dividend increase and higher full-year guidance.

Welltower Raises Guidance as Senior Housing NOI Grows 20.5% for 15th Straight Quarter

Welltower Inc. (NYSE: WELL), the largest healthcare and senior housing REIT by market capitalization, reported second-quarter 2026 results on July 27 showing normalized funds from operations of $1.60 per diluted share, up 25% from a year earlier, as its senior housing portfolio extended a streak of outsized growth that has now run for nearly four years.

The company’s senior housing operating (SHO) portfolio β€” communities Welltower owns and shares in the operating upside of, rather than simply leasing to a tenant β€” posted same-store net operating income growth of 20.5% in the quarter. That marks the 15th consecutive quarter of 20%-or-higher NOI growth in the segment, according to Welltower’s investor presentation. Same-store revenue in the SHO portfolio rose 9.2%, powered by occupancy gains of 330 basis points year over year and unit revenue (RevPOR) growth of 5.2%, while unit expense growth (ExpPOR) held to just 0.7% β€” near the lowest level in the company’s recorded history. The combination pushed the SHO operating margin to 32.1%, above pre-pandemic levels and up 300 basis points from a year ago.

Welltower attributed part of the expense discipline and margin expansion to its Welltower Business System, an internal data and technology initiative the company has been rolling out across its operating partners. The company also disclosed a strategic data science partnership as part of the update, without detailing dollar terms.

On the investment side, Welltower said it has announced $15.5 billion of pro-rata gross investments so far in 2026, including $9.4 billion closed in the first half and another $6.1 billion closed or under contract to close as of July 27. The quarter’s investment activity alone totaled $6.2 billion across more than 30 individual transactions with a median size of $46 million, concentrated in newer-vintage senior housing communities β€” averaging about six years old and roughly 75% occupied at acquisition β€” in markets including Toronto, Atlanta, Vancouver, Denver and Philadelphia. Welltower said it has closed or announced $4.7 billion of dispositions year to date, recycling capital into senior housing acquisitions, while holding net debt to adjusted EBITDA at 2.99 times and ending the quarter with $9.5 billion of near-term liquidity.

The balance-sheet metrics drew a positive signal from ratings agencies: Welltower said S&P Global Ratings affirmed its A- credit rating and upgraded its outlook to positive during the period. In July, Welltower also issued C$1.15 billion of senior unsecured notes at a blended 3.95% coupon.

Welltower’s board of directors approved a 15% increase in the quarterly dividend, to $0.85 per share, following two consecutive years of low-double-digit dividend growth. Management pointed to a low payout ratio and low leverage as support for the higher payment.

Welltower raised its full-year 2026 guidance for normalized FFO per diluted share to a midpoint of $6.40, up 12 cents from the prior update and up from $5.29 in 2025. The increase was driven mainly by higher expected contributions from the SHO portfolio and from investment and financing activity. The company also lifted its full-year same-store NOI growth guidance across every segment: senior housing operating to a 20.0% midpoint (from 19.0%), senior housing triple-net to 4.0% (from 3.5%), and it held outpatient medical and long-term post-acute care guidance steady at 2.5% each, bringing total-portfolio same-store NOI growth guidance to 14.9%.

Welltower’s results echo a broader pattern among large, well-capitalized REITs this earnings season: Digital Realty Trust likewise beat estimates and raised guidance in its most recent quarter, citing strong demand in its own sector. In senior housing specifically, deal activity beyond the public REITs has also been brisk β€” seniors housing and care M&A neared $4 billion in the second quarter, led by assisted-living transactions, according to Irving Levin Associates data reported last week.

What it means: The FFO growth, NOI streak, guidance increase and dividend hike are Welltower’s own reported figures. That this marks a 15th straight quarter of 20%-plus SHO NOI growth is a verifiable fact, not a projection; whether that pace continues depends on senior housing demand and construction trends the company does not control. RealtyWire’s assessment is that continued occupancy gains, tied to demographic aging and constrained new supply, are the main variable to watch in Welltower’s next several quarters, alongside how much of its $15.5 billion in 2026 investment activity closes on schedule.

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