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Housing Market

California Home Sales Pull Back in July as Median Price Slips Below $900,000

California home sales fell 6% in July as the statewide median price dropped below $900,000 for the first time in four months, with Southern California and San Francisco Bay Area prices moving in opposite directions, C.A.R. reports.

California Home Sales Pull Back in July as Median Price Slips Below $900,000

California home sales pulled back in July and the statewide median price slipped below $900,000 for the first time in four months, as mortgage rates that briefly touched a 12-month high weighed on the nation’s largest housing market, the California Association of Realtors reported.

Statewide sales fell to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 263,170 homes in July, down 6.0% from June but still up 1.1% from a year earlier, according to C.A.R.’s July 2026 sales and price report. Year-to-date sales remain 1.8% ahead of last year’s pace through the first seven months of 2026. The statewide median price fell 1.9% from June to $887,680, though it remained 0.3% above July 2025’s level. The average 30-year mortgage rate for the month was 6.54%, down from 6.72% a year earlier despite the mid-month spike.

“California’s housing market pulled back last month as mortgage rates remained elevated and briefly reached a 12-month high in recent weeks,” C.A.R. President Tamara Suminski said. C.A.R. Senior Vice President and Chief Economist Jordan Levine added that “July’s housing market performance reflected the ongoing challenges under the current economic and lending environment.”

Regional results varied sharply. Southern California’s median price rose 2.7% year over year to $899,000 with sales essentially flat, up just 0.1%. The San Francisco Bay Area told a different story: its median price fell 1.2% year over year to $1,285,000 even as sales slipped 0.1%. The Central Coast posted an 11.1% jump in sales alongside a 4.1% price decline to $1,070,000, while the Central Valley and Far North regions posted modest price gains of 0.2% and 0.5%, respectively. At the county level, Merced (+39.5%), Lake (+37.5%) and Del Norte (+33.3%) led the state in year-over-year sales growth, while San Francisco County posted the steepest price appreciation at 25.2%, followed by Calaveras (+18.8%) and Mendocino (+16.7%).

San Diego County mirrored the statewide pattern of rising prices against falling sales. The median price of an existing single-family home there rose 1.3% from June to $1.099 million, up 5.7% from July 2025, even as sales fell 6.7% month over month while staying 4.5% above year-ago levels. San Diego’s unsold inventory index rose to 2.9 months of supply from 2.7 in June, still below the 3.5 months recorded a year earlier, and the median time to sell ticked up to 19 days from 18 in June.

What it means: Verified facts: California sales fell month over month statewide while the median price dipped below $900,000, with sharply divergent regional performance between price-gaining Southern California and price-declining San Francisco Bay Area. Attributed interpretation: C.A.R.’s own leadership frames the pullback as a direct consequence of elevated mortgage rates rather than weakening underlying demand, pointing to the brief 12-month rate high during the month. RealtyWire’s analysis: the gap between Southern California’s price gains and the Bay Area’s price declines, even as both regions saw essentially flat sales volume, suggests AI-industry wealth effects lifting specific Bay Area submarkets are not yet showing up in the county-level Bay Area aggregate C.A.R. tracks β€” a reminder that even hyperlocal frenzies can wash out in broader regional statistics.

The report lands alongside other measures of a cooling national sales pace, including Redfin’s finding that U.S. home sales hit a two-year low in July, and follows continued strength in San Francisco rents, where Essex Property Trust recently raised its guidance as Bay Area rents jumped 7%.

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